THE SOUTH Korean Constitutional Court’s ruling to uphold the impeachment of President Park Geun-hye has made her the first democratically elected leader to be forced from office.
The decision prompted calls for early elections and for criminal proceedings to be leveled against the fallen head of state, who has since last year been struggling to disentangle herself from what is said to be the biggest scandal in South Korean history.
When the 65-year-old Park leaves South Korea’s presidential palace, she will return to her home in Seoul’s luxury Gangnam district surrounded by a high wall and bamboo trees. This will provide some respite but not for long. Park may well have to move again – this time, to a cramped jail cell.
Shielded from prosecution while in office, Park would now likely be hauled to court like any other criminal offender. She also faces the possibility of detention pending trial, and finally, should she be convicted, many long years in prison for her alleged crimes.
Several pundits say Park’s ouster, which follows months of political discontentment and wide-scale protests in the capital, has raised the chances of left-leaning candidates at wresting federal power in the next elections due in the next 60 days.
According to national news agency Yonhap, the scandal affecting the rightist leader and her associates is serving in favour of the liberals, catapulting Moon Jae-in, former head of the liberal opposition Democratic Party who lost the 2012 election to Park, as a front-runner.
Moon’s dominance in presidential opinion polls, according to the analysis by Yonhap, has gone unchallenged over the last two months.
His approval numbers are at 36.1 percent, a more than 20 percentage-point lead over his rivals, including acting President and Prime Minister Hwang Kyo-ahn, a conservative, and South Chungcheong Governor An Hee-jung, a liberal, based on a survey by Realmeter.
Hwang’s approval ratings are at 14.2 percent, followed by An with 12.9 percent, the poll numbers show.
“The court’s decision can be considered as a death sentence for the Liberty Korea Party, as well as the pro-Park faction,” said Yu Yong-wha, a visiting professor of politics at Dongguk University, was quoted by Yonhap as saying. “But we cannot also say Moon is the dominant player in the game yet.”
Yu added: “The situations can change anytime. We need to wait until the end of this month.”
Park’s replacement will face a host of problems: a growing threat from nuclear-armed North Korea that prompted deployment of a US missile-defense system, Chinese retaliation against Korea businesses over that move, and pressure to reform the family-run conglomerates that played a key role in the scandal that caused Park’s downfall.
The following is an introduction to the leading candidates and their key policies, according to Reuters.
The 64-year-old former lawmaker and ex-leader of the main opposition Democratic Party lost to Park in the 2012 election by 3 percentage points. Moon favours closer engagement with North Korea. He has also called for the next government to review a decision to deploy the US THAAD missile defence system, which prompted China to squeeze Korean companies on the mainland and clamp down on tourism to South Korea.
He has also pledged to get tougher on South Korea’s conglomerates, saying they need reform.
Moon has been at the top of polls, registering 32 percent in the latest one released by Gallup Korea on Friday. The polling company is not affiliated with US-based Gallup Inc.
A youthful-looking provincial governor, An, 51, surged to second place in opinion polls after former U.N. chief Ban Ki-moon dropped out of the race. An was an aide to former President Roh Moo-hyun, a liberal, when Moon was Roh’s chief of staff. He is a two-term governor of rural South Chungcheong province. Some supporters have nicknamed him the “Obama of South Korea”.
An came second in the latest poll, with support of 17 percent of the 1,005 people questioned.
An also favours more engagement with North Korea but has said the THAAD deal should be respected as South Korea and the United States have agreed to deploy it. He has called for a fair, transparent market economy.
Ahn, 55, is a former doctor and computer businessman.
Ahn’s popularity waned in recent months after stepping down as co-chair of the new opposition People’s Party, after it became embroiled in a kickback scandal over advertising funds. Ahn was not implicated. He is a member of parliament.
He got the support of 9 percent of respondents in the latest poll.
He is open to dialogue on North Korea, though has also advocated a tough line. He says the THAAD system must be deployed and South Korea must make greater efforts to convince China it is not aimed at them. On the economy, he advocates the expansion of small- and medium-sized enterprises.
Prime Minister Hwang, 59, became acting president after Parliament voted to impeach Park on Dec 9. Hwang was a state prosecutor for nearly 30 years before launching a career in politics and is considered a loyalist in Park’s cabinet. He has not said if he will run for president but has, nevertheless, emerged as a top conservative candidate.
Hwang got 9 percent in a latest poll.
Hwang reflects Park’s tough line on North Korea and whole-hearted support for THAAD. His economic thinking is conservative.
Lee, the 52-year-old mayor of Seongnam, a city southeast of Seoul, has surged in opinion polls as an outspoken critic of Park since the scandal that led to her impeachment erupted.
A member of the main opposition Democratic Party, Lee has said he wants to be the South Korean Bernie Sanders, after the U.S. Democratic Party insurgent who ran against Hillary Clinton.
He got the support of 8 percent in the latest poll.
Lee has billed himself as the inheritor of the “Sunshine policy” of engaging with North Korea. He recently told Chinese media the THAAD deployment should be called off. He is well known for his staunch criticism of the chaebol.
Additional reporting by Reuters