Suan Dusit poll show 48% of people have confidence; 38% in the opposition
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Suan Dusit poll show 48% of people have confidence; 38% in the opposition

Suan Dusit poll surveyed 3,339 people between March 10-17 on the confidence that people have in Thai politics, the economy, the government and the opposition.

Q1. Today, overall do you have confidence in Thai politics? (ความเชื่อมั่นของประชาชนท่ีมีต่อ “การเมืองไทย” ณ วันนี้ในภาพรวม)


NOTE: Fair bit of confidence can also be translated as some confidence or rather confident.

BP: 68% have little confidence/don’t have confidence whereas only 32% do. It is those in the North and not the Northeast who have a fair bit of confidence/a lot of confidence (49%) whereas those in the South have not so much confidence/no confiden (83%).

Q2. On people having or not having confidence in Thai politics ( เรื่องที่ประชาชน “เชื่อมั่น” และ “ไม่เช่ือมั่น ” ต่อ “การเมืองไทย”)

Have confidence:
A. Confidence in the PM, 59.96%
B. Development of the economy, finance, and investment, 20.78%
C. Solving of society’s problems, 19.28%

BP: That is not a straight approval rating and it is only amongst those who confidence, it is those have confidence in and what people or entities. The PM is the only individual or political entity mentioned and she gets a majority.

No confidence:
A. Confidence in the creation of political reconciliation, 46.68%
B. Behavior and ethics of politicians, 33.77%
C. Solving cost of living problems and the price of goods, 19.55%

BP: How do you reconcile a Manchester United and Liverpool fan OR a Tottenham and Arsenal fan? (insert appropriate derby as for your country). It is not going to happen. The only thing to achieve is an acceptance of the rules of the game.

Q3. Today, overall do you have confidence in the Thai economy (ความเชื่อมั ่นของประชาชนท่ีมีต่อ “เศรษฐกิจไทย” ณ วันนี้ ในภาพรวม)


BP: 58% don’t have confidence/little confidence. Again the North is the highest with 60% having some confidence/a lot of confidence and 40% not whereas 81% in the South don’t have confidence/little confidence, but only 19% confidence do.

Q4.  On having or not having confidence in the Thai economy (เรื่องที่ประชาชน “เชื่อมั่น” และ “ไม่เชื่อมั่น ” ต่อ “เศรษฐกิจไทย”)

Have confidence:
A. Support for business, trade, and investment, 53.4%
B. Support of tourism, 23.67%
C. Stimulating the economy, such as increasing salaries and setting up of loan facilities [BP: กองทุนกู้ยืม has a name?], 22.93%

No confidence:
A. Solving the problems of cost of living/cost of goods, 60.35%,
B. Transparency in solving economic problems in the country, 25%
C. Looking after exports and imports for agriculture and industry, 14.65%

BP: Again cost of living/cost of goods is the major concern. That issue is not going away.

Q5. Today, overall do you have confidence in Thai society ความเชื่อมั่นของประชาชนท่ีมีต่อ “สภาพสังคมไทย” ณ วันนี้ ในภาพรวม


BP: So around 26%  don’t read and watch TV regularly so they are not upset at what happened.

Q6: On having or not having confidence in Thai society เรื่องที่ประชาชน “เชื่อมั่น” และ “ไม่เช่ือมั่น” ต่อ “สภาพสังคมไทย”

Have confidence:
A. Solving drug problems, 52.77%
B. Solving problems about the quality of life and education, 28.8%
C. Carrying on and preserving Thai culture and traditions, 18.43%

BP: Large numbers of people don’t need to die for a “war on drugs” to be popular.

No confidence:
A. Unity and reconciliation in the nation, 44.09%
B. Be occupied with extravagant popularity/use of technology incorrectly, 39.53%
C. Safety in life and property, 16.38%

BP: They don’t believe reconciliation will happen? Or they are unhappy with the methods?

Q7. Today, overall do you have confidence in the government (ความเชื่อมั่นของประชาชนท่ีมตี่อ “ฝ่ายรัฐบาล” ณ วันนี้ ในภาพรวม)


BP:  29% of people in Bangkok and the South have some confidence/a lot of confidence in the government; 48% in the Central region; 68% in the North; and 56% in the Northeast. Overall, 48% of people have some confidence/a lot of confidence in the government.

Q8. On having or not having confidence in the government? (เรื่องที่ประชาชน “เชื่อมั่น” และ “ไม่เช่ือมั่น” ต่อ “ฝ่ายรัฐบาล”)

Have confidence:
A. Confidence in the PM, 58.29%
B. Drug suppression, 25.37%
C. Increasing salary and wages, 16.34%

BP:  An ABAC poll also showed that dealing with the drug problem was the most popular policy….

No confidence:
A. Solving cost of living problems, 49.30%
B. Solving gas, oil and energy prices, 39.46%
C. Preventing and suppressing corruption, 11.24%

BP: A and B both are the cost of living, but people may blame the government more for A and not so much for B – see here – but as already noted previously it is the biggest problem facing the government.

Q9. Today, overall do you have confidence in the opposition? ( ความเชื่อมั่นของประชาชนท่ีมีต่อ “ฝ่ายค้าน” ณ วันนี้ ในภาพรวม)


BP:  33% of people in Bangkok have some confidence/a lot of confidence in the government; 37% in the Central region; 20% in the North; 41% in the Northeast; and 56% in the South. Overall, 38% of people have some confidence/a lot of confidence in the government.

Q10. On having or not having confidence in the opposition (เรื่องที่ประชาชน “เชื่อมั่น” และ “ไม่เช่ือมั่น” ต่อ “ฝ่ายค้าน”)

Have confidence:
A. Investigating the role of the government, 59.33%
B. Confidence in the opposition leader, 31.24%
C. Undertaking the duties of the opposition with its fullest ability, 9.43%

No confidence:
A. Playing political games, 53.24%
B. Opposing all issues when there is no reason to oppose, 33.17%
C. Controlling behaviour of opposition MPs, 13.59%

 Q11. Do you have more confidence in the government or the opposition?  (ระหว่าง “ฝ่ายรัฐบาล” และ “ฝ่ายค้าน” ประชาชนเช่ือมั่นฝ่ายใดมากกว่ากัน)


BP: When looking directly and not a comparison, the government outscores the opposition 48% to 38%, but what is key for the government is they score over 50% in the North and the Northeast which make up around 53% of the electorate. They also do well in the Central Region whereas the Democrats does better in the South and to a lesser extent in Bangkok. When asked to compare, Bangkok almost becomes a tie with high dissatisfaction of both sides.

Period of survey: March 10-17, 2012

Males   50.31%
Females    49.69%

18-20,  8.86%
21-30,  30.1%
31-40,  26.24%
41-50, 23.06%
50+, 11.74%

Civil Servant/State enterprise employee, 15.9%
Private sector employee, 19.23%
Traders/self-employed, 13.87%
Contractors, 15.03%
Farmers, 18.75%
Students, 13.66%
House or wife husbands, 2.31%
Retired, 1.26%

Primary school, 12.49%
Secondary school, 15.51%
Vocational certificate, 19.98%
Bachelor’s degree, 43.97%
Higher than bachelor’s degree, 8.06%

BP: 51% of people don’t have a bachelor’s degree or higher. That is the problem with surveying so many people under 30.

Less than 5,000 Baht a month, 13.96%
5,001-10,000, 35.58%
10,001-20,000, 24.98%
20,001-30,000, 13.54%
30,001-40,000, 5.78%
40,001+, 6.17%

Bangkok and surrounding provinces, 15.39%
Central region, 16.47%
North, 19.08%
Northeast, 34.62%
South, 14.44%

BP: That regional breakdown is reasonably accurate.

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