Poll shows people happy with Yingluck over drug war; not happy over cost of living increases
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Poll shows people happy with Yingluck over drug war; not happy over cost of living increases

BP briefly mentioned this poll just over a month ago, and as there are several polls that have come out assessing the performance of the government, they will be divided and addressed in individual posts.

ABAC surveyed 2,478 people in 17 provinces between February 15-25 (yes, yes, the poll is getting old).*

Q1. Policies of the Yingluck government which are in accordance/consistent OR not in accordance/non consistent with your needs

1. Solving drug problems, 76.1% (consistent); 23.9% (not)

2. 30 Baht health policy, 67.3% (consistent); 32.7% (not)

3. Amending the constitution, 56.2% (consistent); 43.8% (not)

4. Solving flooding problems, 50.1% (consistent); 49.9% (not)

5. 15,000 baht a month for bachelor degree graduates, 43.2% (consistent); 56.8% (not)

6. 300 Baht a day minimum wage, 39.5% (consistent); 60.5% (not)

7. Education policy, improving quality of education, 34.4% (consistent); 65.6% (not)

8. Solving energy price problem, 31.9% (consistent); 68.1% (not)

9. Solving cost of living/expensive goods, 29.9% (consistent); 70.1% (not)

BP: The reason for inclusion of the above is that instead of polling on one particular issue, you get an assessment of those surveyed’s opinion on what they are happy with or not.

The new drug war – which is not as deadly as the 2003 one – has proved popular; 30 baht health scheme as well whereas the cost of living and energy are the worst performers. Not particularly surprising and for the cost of living/energy prices – see this post.

Government is doing better on solving flooding problems than BP expected – then again there is no serious flooding this year so far – but the floods of last year is only a few months old. A little surprised that the government is doing so badly on 300 baht a day minimum wage**, but then again this may not opposition to the actual policy and more about its implementation. Hence, i may be necessary to separate out from (a) those in the 7 provinces who, at that time, were still waiting until April 1 for the 300 baht a day minimum wage and unhappy over the delay, (b) those in the other 70 provinces who won’t get the 300 baht a minimum wage until next year, and (c) those who disagree/concerned with impact of the policy. The policy will have a significant impact on the Thai labor market so BP will keep an eye on the issue to see once it is implemented to see how large (c) is.

Q2. How long do you want the Yingluck government to last?

1. Less than 6 months, 13.8%

2. 6 months-1 year, 7.5%

3. 1-2 years, 21.2%

4. 2-3 years, 19.5%

5. Full term, 38%

BP: Pretty self-explanatory.

*Survey data methodology:

Males   47.2%
Females 52.8%

Under 20,  6.1%
20-29,  22.7%
30-39,  20.9%
40-49,  21.1%
50+, 29.2%

Less than Bachelor’s, 73.1%
Bachelor’s degree or more, 26.9%

33.5% are farmers/contractors,
29.2% are traders/self-employed,
9.1% work for private enterprises,
10.8% are civil servants/state enterprise employees,
7.1% are housewives/househusbands/retired,
6.8% are students, and
3.5% didn’t specify a job/unemployed.

**Poll last year found Puea Thai 300 baht a day minimum wage would be adequate for 88% whereas Democrats’ 25% increase was only considered adequate by 58%.