Civil War!
Share this on

Civil War!

Thanong:
/>

In 2006, he was sent a strong signal to step down to relieve the political tension in the aftermath of his family’s sale of Shin Corp to Temasek Holdings of Singapore. A civil war seemed inevitable. But Thaksin would not budge. The whole country was grounded. Eventually, the military staged a coup to remove Thaksin from power.
/>
/>In 1973, Field Marshal Thanom Kittikachorn, then prime minister, was also given a similar signal to resign after students were killed on Rajdamnoen Avenue. The student uprising during that period pushed Thailand into a new era of hard-fought democracy. After the bloodshed, Thanom lost his legitimacy to rule. Thanom concurred. He left his office in disgrace and slipped out of the country, but with the understanding that he would be allowed to return home once the political situation improved. Thanom did return home, retired from politics and died in Thailand.
/>
/>In the May 1992 tragedy, street demonstrations were held against the Suchinda regime. The government made a blatant error by using force to subdue the crowd. Again, with the bloodshed, Suchinda lost his legitimacy to serve as prime minister. The country could not move forward. Suchinda got a signal to step down. In return, Suchinda got a deal that he and his people would not receive any punishment. Suchinda resigned from his brief premiership, washed his hands off politics and saved the country from further turmoil. He recently celebrated his 75 birthday.
/>
/>Thaksin was in the same situation as Thanom and Suchinda. A big difference was that Thanom and Suchinda faced a civil war and bloodshed, while the street demonstrations against Thaksin had not yet reached the point of civil war, although they almost had. With his strong political mandate, Thaksin thought that he could overwhelm any forces against him, even though he had lost his legitimacy to rule following the sale of Shin Corp.
/>
/>The military under General Sonthi Boonyaratglin staged a coup before the bloodshed took place. It was a “polite coup”, costly and with the sole objective of removing Thaksin from power. If Thaksin had decided to stay away from politics, he would have been able to return home afterward. The court cases against him would have been watered down or dropped along the way.
/>

/>BP: Almost civil war? Thanong is still pushing there would be bloodshed on September 20 meme.
/>
/>btw, on the article’s main point on Thaksin making a mistake in coming back to Thailand, I agree. The pressure to extradite would still be there from the PAD, but his wife wouldn’t have been convicted as the trial wouldn’t have gone ahead. As public prosecutors under Surayud concluded, the evidence was too weak to extradite him. He took a gamble in coming back, but it didn’t pay off.