Thai Rath‘s political news team have an article with their predictions on who will win the election. Below is a summary:

For the 67 constituencies in the 16 provinces in the North, Puea Thai will win 43 constituencies (ประเดิมที่ ภาคเหนือ 16 จังหวัด มีเก้าอี้ให้แย่งชิงกัน 67 ที่นั่ง เพื่อไทยยังครองความเป็นเจ้าสังเวียน กวาดไป 43 เขต). In the Upper North where the reds are strong, Puea Thai will win all 7 constituencies in 7, 4 in Lampang, 2 in Lamphun, 3 in Nan, 3 in Phayao, and 3 in Uttaradit, but in Thaksin’s home province they will win only 9 of the 10 constituencies with Chart Thai Pattana (นพ.ไกร ดาบธรรม) winning 1 seat.

In the Lower North, where the reds are diluted in strength, Puea Thai will win 1 in Kamphaeng Phet, 1 in Phitsanoluk, 2 in Nakhon Sawan, 1 in Sukothai, and 4 in Phetchabun,

The Democrats will in 13 seats from the Lower North with 3 each in Kamphaeng Phet, Phitsanoluk, and Tak; and 1 each in Phetchabun, Sukhothai, and Phichit.

Chart Thai Pattana will win 8 seats; 2 each in Phichit and Nakhon Sawan; 1 each in Chiang Mai, Mae Hong Son, Phitsanoluk, and Phetchabun.

Chat Pattana Puea Paendin will win 2 seats, one each in Nakhon Sawan and Sukhothai.

Bhum Jai Thai will win 1 seat in Sukhothai which is the area of Somsak Thepsuthin.

For the Northeast, there are 126 constituencies. Yingluck fever and the red machine has resulted in a desire for the first female PM in Thai history.

Puea Thai will win all seats in 12 provinces, namely Loei, Nong Khai, Udon Thani, Khon Kaen, Chaiyaphum, Sakon Nakhon, Maha Sarakham, Mukdahan, NongBua Lumphu, Sisaket, Kalasin, and Bueng Kan, for all 66 seats.

Amnat Charoen, Buriram, Chaiyaphum, Khon Kaen, Loei, Maha Sarakham, Mukdahan, Nakhon Phanom, Nakhon Ratchasima, Nongbua Lamphu, Nong Khai, Roi Et, Sakon Nakhon, Surin, Ubon Ratchathani, Udon Thani, Yasothon)

They will win another 23 seats in Roi Et, Ubon Ratchathani, Nakhon Phanom, Yasothon, Surin, and Amnat Charoen to give them a total of 89 seats.

Bhum Jai Thai will only get 17 seats winning 6 seats in Buriram because Puea Thai have sent both former senior military and police officers to the province. Puea Thai will 2 of the 6 seats in Constituency 2 and 5 in Surin. Bhum Jai Thai will win in Constituency 5 in Nakhon Ratchasima.

The Democrats will win just 4 out of their target of 10, namely in Ubon Constituency 3 and 8; Amnat Charoen Constituency 2, and Yasothorn Constituency 1.

Chart Thai Pattana will win only 6, namely 4 in Khorat, 1 in Roi et, and 1 in Nakhon Phanom, but not Constituency 6 in Khorat or in Ubon and Udon as expected because of Puea Thai’s strength.

Chart Thai Pattana will win 3 seats, namely Constituency 11 in Ubon, Constituency 1 in Roi Et, Constituency 4 in Surin. Mathabhum will win just 1, namely with Somchai Thepprasert in Khorat.

There are 6 seats that are too close to call, 1 in Khorat, 1 in Buriram, and 4 in Ubon.

In the Central region all parties are competing. Puea Thai will do well in provinces that surround Bangkok and win 41 seats in total. They will win 7 in Samut Prakarn, 6 in Pathum Thani, 5 in Nonthaburi, 4 in Ayutthaya, and 4 in Nakhon Pathom. They will also win 3 seats in Lopburi and Chonburi; 2 each in Samut Sakhon, Chachoengsao, and Kanchanaburi; 1 each in Saraburi, Angthong, and Ratchaburi.

The Democrats will win 25 seats; 4 in Rayong; 3 each in Chanthaburi, Phetchaburi, Prachuab Kiri Kan; and 1 each in Nonthaburi, Saraburi, Angthong, Chonburi, Samut Songkram, Samut Sakhon, Lopburi, Ratchaburi, and Trat.

Chart Thai Pattana will win 12 seats. They will win 5 seats in Suphan Buri, 1 in Singburi, 2 in Uthai Thani, Nakhon Pathom 1, and 1 in Prachin Buri. Kuakul will just keep his seat in Constituency 1. For Angthong, the Prissanananthaku clan will lose out to Puea Thai.

Bhum Jai Thai will win 10 seats; 3 in Ratchaburi; 2 in Chainat; 2 in Chachoengsao, Saraburi 2, and Prachinburi 1.

For Palangchon, they will win 4 seats in Chonburi.

For Chart Pattana Puea Paendin, they will win 1 seat in Prachin Buri.

In the South, the Democrats will win 47-48 out of the 53 seats. They will win all seats in Chumpon, Surat Thani, Nakhon Sri Thammarat, Ranong, Phang Nga, Trang, Phatalung, Songkhla, Satun, Krabi and Phuket.

It is just in the 11 constituencies in the 3 southern border provinces where there will be competition. The Democrats will win 6 of the seats, Chart Thai Pattana will win 1 seat in Narathiwat Constituency No. 4; Puea Thai 1 seat Yala Constituency No. 2, Mathabhum 2 seats Narathiwat Constituency 1 and 3; Bhum Jai Thai 1 in Pattani Constituency 3.

In Bangkok, despite the best effort of the Democrats will win only 15 seats in inner Bangkok seats with Puea Thai gaining from “Yingluck as female PM” fever will win the remaining 18 seats.

In total, Puea Thai will win 192 constituency seats and together with 60 party-list seats giving them 252.

The Democrats will win 104 constituency seats, 45-48 party-list seats giving them 149-152 seats in total.

Bhum Jai Thai will win 29-30 party list seats + 5-10 party-list seats giving them 35-40.

Chart Thai Pattana will win 24 constituency seats + 5-6 party-list seats giving them 29-30 seats.

Chart Pattana Puea Paendin will win 9 constituency seats + 3-5 party-list seats giving them 10-12 seats.

Palangchon will win 6 constituency seats + 1 party-list seat giving them 5 seats.

Mathabhum of Sonthi B will win 2-3 constituency seats, but no party-list seats meaning that Sonthi B will miss out.

Chuwit’s Rak Prathet Thai will will 3 party-list seats.

Purachai’s Rak Santi will win only 1 party-list seat.

Suwit’s Social Action Party will just scrape over to win a party-list.

BP: The Democrats winning around 150 is in line with The Nation‘s prediction last week. The difference is that Puea Thai win 10 seats from Chart Thai Pattana and 20 seats from Bhum Jai Thai giving them just over 250. For now, BP thinks the main question is, will Puea Thai be able to get a majority or just a plurality? A plurality seems more likely still, but as predicted last week Puea Thai are picking up steam so it may just be possible.